Prediction Markets Lab

Connect market pricing to probabilities, edge cases, and risk-adjusted decisions across the NFL, macroeconomic data, and event markets.

Market Platforms

Kalshi

Regulated event contracts that allow trading on economic releases, policy decisions, and macro outcomes.

Polymarket

On-chain prediction markets for politics, sports, and cultural events, priced in real time.

Sports

Translate market odds into implied probabilities and evaluate edge cases versus your own models.

Implied Probability Tool

Enter a market price to estimate the implied probability. Use either cents (67) or dollars (0.67). Then enter your model probability (%) to compute edge.

Interpreted as cents if > 1, otherwise dollars.